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How much Hormuz oil can be rerouted?

Only a fraction. About 19.9 million barrels a day of oil crossed the Strait of Hormuz before the 2026 crisis, but pipelines around it had only about 3.5 mb/d of spare capacity (IEA, low estimate). That leaves roughly 16.4 mb/d with no alternative route, about 16% of world oil demand.

Updated September 30, 2026 · Explore the live map →

Oil through Hormuz before the war19.9 mb/d
Spare capacity: East-West Pipeline (Petroline)3.0 mb/d
Spare capacity: Habshan–Fujairah Pipeline0.5 mb/d
No alternative route16.4 mb/d

IEA estimates 3.5–5.5 mb/d of Saudi and UAE pipeline capacity could bypass Hormuz; the model counts the low end. Iran's Goreh–Jask line is effectively non-operational. Iraq's Basra, Kuwait, Qatar and Bahrain exports and all Qatari/UAE LNG (just over 112 bcm, almost 20% of global LNG trade) have no bypass. Most of the world's spare crude capacity (>4 mb/d, mainly Saudi) also sits behind the strait. Bypass capacity reflects the current status of each pipeline and its export terminal on this map.

Sources: IEA — Strait of Hormuz Factsheet (Feb 2026, based on Kpler) · EIA — World Oil Transit Chokepoints · EIA — Today in Energy: Strait of Hormuz

Free to reuse with credit to strategicenergymap.org (CC BY 4.0). Download the data (JSON).

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